In my opinion, what is happening in Sudan is very dangerous. It is a very serious mistake for protesters to call for the overthrow of Omar Bashir, regardless of what anyone thinks about him. When you protest policies, you should demand the end of those policies, not the overthrow of the government that is implementing them. When you demand the toppling of the government, the regime will harden its stance, and wide segments of the general public will align with them. You undermine your own demands.
There are already groups participating in the Civil Disobedience campaign whom the majority of Sudanese people deeply distrust (with reason), and I am sure there are many who see the demonstrations as an effort to further destabilize the country; particularly since they emphasize garnering the support of the international community.
Of course, it is predictable that if nonviolent protests escalate, the regime will respond with violence. Blood, it should be understood, is a flammable substance. It will be very difficult to maintain nonviolence, and protesters may very likely react to a government crackdown by taking up arms. If and when this happens, the nature of the conflict will change drastically. It will no longer be an anti-Austerity movement, but a battle between Secularism and Islam. It seems plausible that protesters who morph into rebels may receive Western backing, and the whole country will collapse into bloody civil war.
I urge the protesters to discard the call for the toppling of Bashir, and focus all their attention on the policies of Austerity, and to continue working to build broader grassroots support, without seeking any foreign intervention.
#السودان_عصيان_مدني_عام_19_ديسمبر
#الحصار_الاقتصادي_السوداني_4ديسمبر
#اعيدوا_الدعم_للأدوية
#SudanCivilDisobediance
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External Context سياق خارجي
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