You know how people are always gambling in sports? Betting that one team will defeat another team? Well, imagine that your team’s coach is betting on your rival team to defeat you.
He would order a training regimen for you that would include eating donuts, 18 hours of sleep, and as little practice as possible. The more incapable your team becomes, the more he would say how great you are doing.
That’s a bit like any developing country taking advice from the IMF.